Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.035938 0.042117 0.048515 0.055596 0.063178 0.071021 0.079715
2025-12-21 0.026688 0.035484 0.045133 0.056334 0.068826 0.082197 0.097471
2025-12-28 0.022859 0.033604 0.045917 0.060691 0.077608 0.096102 0.117597
2026-01-04 0.017084 0.028414 0.042081 0.059077 0.079073 0.101387 0.127756
2026-01-11 0.013881 0.025808 0.040839 0.060074 0.083171 0.109335 0.140615
2026-01-18 0.011088 0.023265 0.039322 0.060443 0.086288 0.115960 0.151797
2026-01-25 0.008840 0.021092 0.038001 0.060828 0.089242 0.122249 0.162465
2026-02-01 0.006799 0.018849 0.036336 0.060582 0.091275 0.127335 0.171637
2026-02-08 0.004462 0.015593 0.032941 0.057848 0.090048 0.128401 0.175986
2026-02-15 0.003112 0.013671 0.031218 0.057142 0.091211 0.132216 0.183466
2026-02-22 0.002301 0.012556 0.030564 0.057780 0.094001 0.137940 0.193155
2026-03-01 0.001750 0.011821 0.030409 0.059044 0.097550 0.144554 0.203877
2026-03-08 0.001372 0.011444 0.030886 0.061330 0.102618 0.153279 0.217439
2026-03-15 0.000878 0.010486 0.030336 0.062141 0.105783 0.159704 0.228315
2026-03-22 0.000865 0.011071 0.032408 0.066727 0.113910 0.172272 0.246590
2026-03-29 0.000331 0.009279 0.030211 0.065033 0.113701 0.174476 0.252357
2026-04-05 0.000151 0.008614 0.029923 0.066081 0.117088 0.181123 0.263465
2026-04-12 0.000031 0.007786 0.029232 0.066468 0.119554 0.186592 0.273126
2026-04-19 NaN 0.007034 0.028588 0.066873 0.122006 0.192018 0.282716
2026-04-26 NaN 0.006152 0.027557 0.066615 0.123512 0.196217 0.290783
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004663 0.024957 0.063741 0.121322 0.195645 0.292932
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003876 0.023748 0.062998 0.122023 0.198718 0.299527
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003483 0.023424 0.063669 0.124682 0.204290 0.309197